Market Data

Data through September 2026

Most listings cut
37.7%Salt Lake City, up from 35.9%
Coolest market
21Salt Lake City heat score, down from 26
Largest median cut
$26,333San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, down from $30,000

Know your numbers

Selling this fall? What a price cut looks like in each of our seven metros

S
Steven Destine
··6 min read
The short version

In Zillow Research's September 2026 metro data, the share of listings with a price cut ran from 27.4% in San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles to 37.7% in Salt Lake City. The median cut ran from $9,967 in Columbus to $26,333 in San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles. Every metro leaned to buyers, so price carefully from day one.

Thinking of listing this fall? A forecast won't help you much. The number that will is how often sellers in your metro are cutting their asking price, and by how much.

In September 2026, all seven metros Nimbus tracks leaned to buyers on Zillow Research's Market Heat Index. Zillow Research's August and September 2026 metro readings also show that every one of them cooled from August. Here is what that looks like in price cuts.

Price cuts in each metro, September 2026

Each cell leads with the percent change from September 2025, with the September 2025 and September 2026 figures under it, from Zillow Research's smoothed metro Market Heat Index and Price Cuts data. Heat is Zillow Research's 0 to 100 score, and the median cut is in dollars. For the share of listings cut, the percent is the change in the share itself, not in percentage points: 36.6% to 36.7% is up 0.3%.

MetroHeatListings cut (%)Median cut ($)
Denverup 4.5%from 22 to 23up 0.3%from 36.6 to 36.7up 7.7%from 12,500 to 13,467
Salt Lake Citydown 19.2%from 26 to 21up 5.0%from 35.9 to 37.7flat 0%from 10,000 to 10,000
Austindown 8.3%from 24 to 22down 0.7%from 30.3 to 30.1down 9.9%from 12,333 to 11,107
Atlantadown 7.7%from 26 to 24down 1.6%from 31.2 to 30.7flat 0%from 10,000 to 10,000
Baltimoredown 10.9%from 46 to 41up 4.5%from 28.9 to 30.2flat 0%from 10,000 to 10,000
Columbusdown 10.5%from 38 to 34up 2.3%from 34.1 to 34.9up 14.1%from 8,733 to 9,967
San Luis Obispo-Paso Roblesdown 14.0%from 43 to 37up 1.5%from 27.0 to 27.4down 12.2%from 30,000 to 26,333

Source: Zillow Research, Market Heat Index and Price Cuts (metro, smoothed), September 2026 vs September 2025.

Here are the same seven metros ranked by how often listings were cut, with the change from September 2025 beside each.

Share of listings with a price cut, by metro

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Share of listings with a price cut, by metro. Sorted by biggest change.
PlaceListings cut (%)vs Sept 2025
Salt Lake CityStrong buyer's market37.7up 5.0%
BaltimoreBuyer's market30.2up 4.5%
ColumbusBuyer's market34.9up 2.3%
San Luis Obispo-Paso RoblesBuyer's market27.4up 1.5%
DenverStrong buyer's market36.7up 0.3%
AustinStrong buyer's market30.1down 0.7%
AtlantaStrong buyer's market30.7down 1.6%
Share of listings with a price cut in September 2026, and its change from September 2025 as a percent of last year's share (not percentage points). Metros are grouped by Zillow Research's Market Heat Index band for September 2026. Source: Zillow Research, Price Cuts (metro, smoothed) and Market Heat Index.

How to read the heat number

Zillow Research's Market Heat Index methodology scores a market from 0 to 100. A score of 70 and up is a strong seller's market, 55 to 69 is a seller's market, 44 to 54 is neutral, 28 to 43 is a buyer's market, and 27 or less is a strong buyer's market.

On that scale, Zillow Research's September 2026 readings put Denver (23), Salt Lake City (21), Austin (22) and Atlanta (24) in strong buyer's territory. Baltimore (41), Columbus (34) and San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles (37) were in buyer's territory, per the same Zillow Research data.

The move from one month to the next matters for timing. Zillow Research's August and September 2026 metro readings show every heat number fell: Denver 27 to 23, Salt Lake City 26 to 21, Austin 27 to 22, Atlanta 26 to 24, Baltimore 45 to 41, Columbus 39 to 34, and San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles 46 to 37. Denver is the only metro slightly above last September, at 23 versus 22 in Zillow Research's figures, and it still cooled over the late summer.

What that means for you: buyers have more homes to choose from, and they know it. A home priced for spring is likely to sit.

What the cuts tell a seller

A price cut is the market correcting a list price that was set too high. The share of listings cut tells you how often that happens near you. The median cut tells you what it usually costs.

In Zillow Research's September 2026 data, Salt Lake City had the highest share of listings with a cut at 37.7%, up from 35.9%, and Denver was close behind at 36.7%. Austin (30.1%), Atlanta (30.7%) and Baltimore (30.2%) were lower, per the same Zillow Research data.

The share of listings with a cut swings with the seasons, but it is higher in September 2026 than in January 2019 in every one of these metros.

Share of listings with a price cut, by metro, since 2019

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Listings with a price cutEvents: tap or hover

Line chart of Listings with a price cut by month, Jan 2019 to Sep 2026. Metro Denver: 21.7% in Jan 2019, 36.7% in Sep 2026. Metro Salt Lake City: 22.5% in Jan 2019, 37.7% in Sep 2026. Metro Austin: 21.1% in Jan 2019, 30.1% in Sep 2026. Metro Atlanta: 20.4% in Jan 2019, 30.7% in Sep 2026. Metro Baltimore: 22.0% in Jan 2019, 30.2% in Sep 2026. Metro Columbus: 20.7% in Jan 2019, 34.9% in Sep 2026. Metro San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles: 20.1% in Jan 2019, 27.4% in Sep 2026. Gold dots mark COVID-19 pandemic declared (Mar 2020); Fed starts rapid hikes (Mar 2022); Silicon Valley Bank fails (Mar 2023); Fed begins rate cuts (Sep 2024); Sweeping tariffs announced (Apr 2025); U.S.-Iran war begins (Feb 2026).

Data table
Share of listings with a price cut, by metro, since 2019: Listings with a price cut by month
MonthMetro DenverMetro Salt Lake CityMetro AustinMetro AtlantaMetro BaltimoreMetro ColumbusMetro San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles
Sep 202636.7%37.7%30.1%30.7%30.2%34.9%27.4%
Aug 202635.9%36.3%30.1%30.4%28.7%33.9%26.7%
Jul 202634.9%34.8%29.9%29.5%27.4%31.4%25.5%
Jun 202633.5%32.4%28.3%28.0%25.6%28.5%23.3%
May 202631.0%30.2%26.2%26.6%23.9%25.3%21.3%
Apr 202628.1%27.7%23.9%25.5%22.0%24.0%19.8%
Mar 202626.3%26.5%22.2%24.8%21.0%23.7%19.2%
Feb 202623.4%25.0%20.1%22.5%20.7%23.8%17.5%
Jan 202624.1%27.0%20.6%22.6%22.4%26.2%18.2%
Dec 202527.3%30.5%23.1%24.8%25.6%29.7%19.9%
Nov 202532.8%34.1%27.2%28.2%28.5%33.2%24.4%
Oct 202536.0%36.0%29.3%30.5%29.6%34.3%25.9%
Sep 202536.6%35.9%30.3%31.2%28.9%34.1%27.0%
Aug 202537.4%36.3%31.2%31.7%28.1%33.1%26.6%
Jul 202538.0%35.6%32.1%31.8%27.5%31.3%26.3%
Jun 202536.8%34.2%30.8%30.1%25.3%28.9%25.5%
May 202534.1%32.0%28.4%28.5%23.6%26.6%24.7%
Apr 202530.7%30.0%25.2%26.7%21.4%25.0%22.5%
Mar 202528.6%28.7%23.8%26.3%21.1%24.3%20.9%
Feb 202526.4%26.8%21.0%24.1%20.6%24.1%18.1%
Jan 202526.8%27.6%21.4%24.2%22.2%26.1%18.4%
Dec 202429.3%29.9%22.0%25.3%23.8%28.9%19.4%
Nov 202432.7%33.8%25.5%28.6%25.9%32.2%22.5%
Oct 202435.0%35.0%27.7%31.0%26.2%33.1%23.5%
Sep 202435.8%34.4%29.8%31.7%25.8%32.5%23.6%
Aug 202436.1%34.2%31.0%31.7%24.7%30.3%22.1%
Jul 202435.2%32.7%31.2%30.3%23.5%27.6%21.8%
Jun 202432.1%30.5%29.2%28.2%22.2%24.2%20.3%
May 202428.4%27.4%25.8%26.2%21.1%21.8%20.4%
Apr 202424.7%24.3%22.8%24.4%20.1%20.6%18.7%
Mar 202422.1%23.7%21.0%23.6%19.6%21.4%19.5%
Feb 202419.6%22.2%19.8%21.6%19.4%21.5%16.7%
Jan 202421.7%25.7%21.1%22.7%21.6%24.4%19.1%
Dec 202325.6%29.5%24.4%24.3%24.0%26.9%20.8%
Nov 202331.1%34.5%28.9%27.3%25.6%29.3%24.2%
Oct 202332.1%36.1%31.1%27.1%24.6%28.2%23.3%
Sep 202330.8%34.5%31.1%25.6%22.3%25.5%21.6%
Aug 202329.0%32.7%31.1%24.1%20.6%23.1%21.7%
Jul 202326.6%29.7%29.8%22.0%19.3%20.5%20.4%
Jun 202323.4%26.9%27.9%20.1%17.5%17.7%17.5%
May 202320.8%25.2%26.4%19.8%17.0%17.1%14.9%
Apr 202319.1%24.7%24.4%20.7%16.9%17.2%15.3%
Mar 202320.6%27.1%25.6%23.3%19.2%19.8%17.8%
Feb 202321.9%27.0%24.2%23.4%20.1%20.7%17.6%
Jan 202327.0%30.8%27.6%25.6%23.0%24.4%19.0%
Dec 202232.1%35.1%30.6%27.7%24.8%26.8%20.1%
Nov 202237.3%40.9%35.8%31.4%27.1%29.0%24.3%
Oct 202238.7%42.7%37.0%31.9%27.1%28.2%25.6%
Sep 202238.0%42.3%36.2%30.4%26.2%26.6%25.8%
Aug 202235.3%40.6%33.5%27.2%24.7%23.9%24.9%
Jul 202228.8%35.2%27.0%22.9%21.8%19.8%22.1%
Jun 202220.3%26.1%18.9%18.2%17.9%14.7%17.4%
May 202212.7%16.8%11.2%14.6%15.1%11.6%12.3%
Apr 20228.2%10.6%7.2%12.4%13.8%9.9%9.1%
Mar 20226.8%8.2%6.1%12.0%14.5%11.0%8.8%
Feb 20227.9%8.8%6.7%11.7%15.2%12.4%9.0%
Jan 202211.1%12.5%9.2%13.0%17.4%15.3%10.2%
Dec 202115.4%17.0%11.9%14.1%19.7%17.8%10.7%
Nov 202118.3%20.9%14.7%16.0%22.3%20.6%12.4%
Oct 202119.7%22.0%15.8%17.0%22.8%21.4%13.6%
Sep 202119.3%21.1%15.3%16.9%21.8%20.9%15.2%
Aug 202116.9%18.4%12.8%15.6%19.8%18.6%14.5%
Jul 202113.2%14.8%9.6%13.6%17.1%16.1%13.8%
Jun 20219.4%11.7%6.7%11.9%14.7%13.4%10.6%
May 20217.8%9.3%5.2%11.2%12.8%11.2%9.5%
Apr 20217.7%7.7%4.4%11.1%12.0%10.7%8.6%
Mar 20218.9%6.7%4.7%11.8%12.8%11.7%10.8%
Feb 202110.3%8.0%6.3%12.0%14.5%13.8%11.3%
Jan 202113.3%11.7%9.8%13.5%17.2%17.0%12.2%
Dec 202016.5%16.0%13.2%15.1%19.0%19.9%13.3%
Nov 202019.6%18.3%15.7%17.1%19.2%21.6%15.1%
Oct 202021.1%19.2%17.0%17.8%18.2%21.1%16.6%
Sep 202022.3%18.9%18.1%18.2%17.8%19.7%17.6%
Aug 202023.1%19.2%19.2%18.7%18.5%18.4%18.5%
Jul 202023.6%20.2%19.8%19.6%19.6%17.8%19.0%
Jun 202020.7%22.2%19.5%19.0%18.9%17.7%17.2%
May 202017.9%21.4%18.2%18.5%18.3%17.6%15.9%
Apr 202016.1%20.1%18.1%19.5%19.3%18.3%17.7%
Mar 202017.9%18.0%17.8%20.9%20.7%19.2%19.4%
Feb 202018.4%17.8%17.9%20.9%20.6%19.8%18.4%
Jan 202020.6%19.8%18.4%20.5%20.6%21.1%16.8%
Dec 201924.8%24.3%21.8%22.5%23.3%24.9%19.0%
Nov 201930.1%28.5%25.6%25.6%27.1%29.3%23.9%
Oct 201932.8%30.8%28.3%27.2%28.7%31.2%26.9%
Sep 201933.0%30.1%28.8%27.0%28.0%30.0%26.8%
Aug 201932.0%29.5%28.0%26.6%27.5%27.7%26.2%
Jul 201930.2%27.8%26.6%25.8%27.5%25.5%24.7%
Jun 201927.2%25.4%24.3%24.6%26.6%22.9%22.9%
May 201923.9%22.8%22.0%23.2%24.4%20.3%21.0%
Apr 201921.1%20.6%19.8%21.0%21.5%18.3%19.3%
Mar 201920.5%20.8%19.5%20.9%20.7%18.1%19.9%
Feb 201919.3%19.7%18.8%19.1%19.6%18.4%18.5%
Jan 201921.7%22.5%21.1%20.4%22.0%20.7%20.1%
Zillow Research, share of listings with a price cut (metro, smoothed), monthly, January 2019 to September 2026. Gold dots mark national events.

The size of the cuts moved in different directions. Zillow Research shows Denver's median cut rose to $13,467 from $12,500, and Columbus's rose to $9,967 from $8,733, so sellers in those metros are giving up more per cut than a year ago. San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles had the largest median cut in dollars at $26,333, down from $30,000, per Zillow Research. Keep in mind that the same dollar cut means more or less depending on what homes cost in that metro.

What to do with this: if your metro's cut share is high, assume buyers will push back on your first price. Buyers can see a listing's price history, so a cut after a few slow weeks can invite lower offers. Setting a careful price from day one protects your leverage at the table better than a cut does later.

What these numbers do not tell you

Zillow Research's Price Cuts definitions describe these as metro medians of listings. A single ZIP or price range can differ, and a cut to the list price is not the final sale price. Your street may run hotter or colder than your metro, and a home that never cut its price can still sell below asking.

Check your own ZIP

Your metro is a starting point, not your answer. In Nimbus (nimbusportfolio.com), you can ask Chene for the price-cut share and heat reading for your ZIP, along with the month of the data, from the market map's heat and price-cut layers (source: Nimbus).

Here is what that looks like when you ask.

Asking Chene inside Nimbus: If I list my home this fall, how often are homes near me getting a price cut, and by how much?

A sound sale, whatever the market does next

Nobody can tell you whether prices will be higher next spring. What you can control is whether your decision holds up either way.

  • Know your number before you list: what you owe, your selling costs, and what you need to walk away with. That tells you how much of a cut you can absorb.
  • Price for the market in front of you. Use your ZIP's cut share and median cut, not last spring's sales.
  • Decide whether you actually have to sell. If you don't, holding is a real choice, as long as you can carry the payment with taxes and insurance and keep cash in reserve for repairs and slow months.
  • If you are buying your next home, use the same test. Plan to stay long enough to ride out a soft stretch, pick a payment you can carry with taxes and insurance, and keep cash in reserve. Do that and your timing matters far less.
  • If the home is one you used to live in and now rent out, check the tax rules before you decide to wait out the market. The tax-free exclusion on a former home has a deadline, and missing it while you wait for a better price can cost more than a cut. Our post on selling a home you rented out explains it.

A buyer's market is no reason to panic, and no reason to freeze. It is a reason to price carefully, list with a plan, and know your floor before the first offer arrives.

What's your home worth?

Type your address to see a free value est. and the market around it. No account needed to look.

Frequently asked questions

Should I wait until spring to sell?

No one can promise spring will be better. If you can carry the payment with taxes and insurance and still keep cash in reserve, waiting is a real option. If you need to sell, price for today's market. If the home is a former residence you now rent out, check the deadline on the tax-free exclusion before you wait.

How often are listings getting a price cut in these metros?

In Zillow Research's September 2026 metro data, the share of listings with a price cut ran from 27.4% in San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles to 37.7% in Salt Lake City. Your own ZIP can differ.

What does a strong buyer's market mean?

On Zillow Research's Market Heat Index, a score of 27 or less is a strong buyer's market and 28 to 43 is a buyer's market. Buyers have more choice and more room to negotiate, so sellers should expect pushback on price.

Is a price cut the same as selling below asking?

No. Zillow Research's Price Cuts figures track cuts to the list price, not the final sale price, and they are metro medians, so a single ZIP or price range can look different.